Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.291150 0.335734 0.384601 0.442103 0.507881 0.580748 0.667561
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.229295 0.289426 0.361180 0.452972 0.567151 0.704373 0.881702
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.182213 0.249927 0.337269 0.457851 0.619672 0.828976 1.119919
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.147126 0.218037 0.316355 0.461994 0.671570 0.961483 1.392165
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.121079 0.192864 0.299305 0.467604 0.725875 1.105858 1.705684
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.102917 0.175321 0.289579 0.481467 0.793893 1.280252 2.091782
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.085747 0.155649 0.272632 0.480548 0.838350 1.425448 2.456879
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.074421 0.143326 0.265109 0.493218 0.906356 1.617858 2.928325
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.062656 0.127717 0.248869 0.487449 0.941062 1.758905 3.333999
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.054805 0.117825 0.241049 0.495312 1.001080 1.952517 3.862095
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046184 0.104576 0.224301 0.482785 1.019881 2.072436 4.270406
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042003 0.099767 0.223489 0.501925 1.104033 2.328836 4.980457
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038230 0.095232 0.222728 0.521708 1.194234 2.613479 5.796991
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.033488 0.087472 0.213531 0.521449 1.241604 2.817432 6.477732
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029278 0.080095 0.203838 0.518311 1.282079 3.012848 7.170585
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025802 0.073822 0.195591 0.517100 1.326823 3.224386 7.932084
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022994 0.068701 0.189224 0.519362 1.380303 3.463819 8.794536
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021016 0.065442 0.187033 0.531943 1.461618 3.780952 9.890153
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018654 0.060544 0.179542 0.529070 1.502686 4.006118 10.793139
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017156 0.057906 0.177796 0.541686 1.587076 4.352165 12.053410
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015183 0.053326 0.169616 0.534509 1.615994 4.559352 12.982772
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013904 0.050712 0.166766 0.542514 1.689346 4.895301 14.306831
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.012185 0.046200 0.157226 0.528443 1.696031 5.050635 15.157823